Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.031430 0.034339 0.037267 0.040429 0.043739 0.047099 0.050759
2026-01-04 0.026644 0.030937 0.035402 0.040368 0.045713 0.051273 0.057474
2026-01-11 0.023382 0.028695 0.034382 0.040869 0.048011 0.055589 0.064189
2026-01-18 0.020758 0.026831 0.033509 0.041298 0.050041 0.059469 0.070326
2026-01-25 0.017420 0.023846 0.031118 0.039800 0.049736 0.060625 0.073339
2026-02-01 0.015194 0.021940 0.029777 0.039326 0.050439 0.062782 0.077357
2026-02-08 0.013455 0.020459 0.028800 0.039155 0.051385 0.065131 0.081519
2026-02-15 0.012619 0.020010 0.028989 0.040297 0.053805 0.069120 0.087511
2026-02-22 0.011758 0.019449 0.028980 0.041152 0.055849 0.072648 0.092955
2026-03-01 0.010813 0.018701 0.028677 0.041600 0.057369 0.075540 0.097646
2026-03-08 0.009848 0.017851 0.028186 0.041768 0.058516 0.077966 0.101776
2026-03-15 0.009302 0.017531 0.028343 0.042713 0.060579 0.081454 0.107131
2026-03-22 0.008090 0.016205 0.027152 0.041952 0.060577 0.082531 0.109720
2026-03-29 0.007334 0.015482 0.026720 0.042127 0.061704 0.084942 0.113876
2026-04-05 0.006804 0.015053 0.026656 0.042753 0.063376 0.087998 0.118792
2026-04-12 0.006276 0.014584 0.026507 0.043247 0.064868 0.090830 0.123438
2026-04-19 0.005179 0.013108 0.024879 0.041733 0.063786 0.090508 0.124299
2026-04-26 0.004496 0.012240 0.024062 0.041258 0.063989 0.091725 0.126981
2026-05-03 0.003961 0.011569 0.023493 0.041087 0.064559 0.093375 0.130171
2026-05-10 0.003807 0.011568 0.023911 0.042264 0.066867 0.097170 0.135957
2026-05-17 0.003593 0.011436 0.024119 0.043144 0.068786 0.100485 0.141165
2026-05-24 0.003299 0.011123 0.024035 0.043605 0.070151 0.103107 0.145531
2026-05-31 0.002967 0.010699 0.023757 0.043778 0.071129 0.105240 0.149298